***Poyet, Corentin and Tapio Raunio (Forthcoming). "Reconsidering the electoral connection of speeches: The impact of electoral vulnerability on legislative speechmaking in a preferential voting system." Legislative Studies Quarterly.***

***TABLE 1***
sum Speeches intravul intervul groupleader partyleader partyscore1 committee minister2 oppmaj size gender seniority_term exposure

***TABLE 2***
**Model 1**
grstyle set color black
local display msize(medsmall) lwidth(vvthin) grid(none) ylabel(, noticks)
local ci ciopts(lwidth(vthin medthin) lcolor(black%50 black%100)) citop

nbreg Speeches intravul intervul partyscore1 groupleader partyleader committee minister2 oppmaj size gender seniority_term exposure i.term i.party_family, cluster(MP_ID)
estat ic

*Figure 1*
coefplot, aspect(1) ci(95) keep(intervul intravul partyscore1 oppmaj) xline(0, lpattern(shortdash) lcolor(black)) rename( /// 
	intervul = "Inter-party vulnerability" ///
	intravul = "Intra-party vulnerability" ///
	partyscore1 = "Score of the party in the district" ///
	oppmaj = "Government MP" ///
		) `display' `ci'
	

**Model 2**
nbreg Speeches groupleader partyleader partyscore1 committee i.minister2 c.intervul i.oppmaj##c.intravul size gender seniority_term exposure i.term i.party_family, cluster(MP_ID)
estat ic

**Model 3**
nbreg Speeches i.gender c.intravul##c.partyscore1 groupleader partyleader committee i.minister2 i.oppmaj size c.intervul seniority_term exposure i.term i.party_family, cluster(MP_ID)
estat ic

*figure 2*
quietly margins, dydx(intravul) at(partyscore1=(1(2)30))
marginsplot, level(90) recast(line) recastci(rline)


*figure 3*
margins, at (intravul=(.55(.1)1.5) partyscore1=(1)) level(90)
marginsplot, level(90) recast(line) recastci(rline) saving(1g)
margins, at (intravul=(.55(.1)1.5) partyscore1=(11)) level(90)
marginsplot, level(90) recast(line) recastci(rline) saving(11g)
margins, at (intravul=(.55(.1)1.5) partyscore1=(30)) level(90)
marginsplot, level(90) recast(line) recastci(rline) saving(30g)
gr combine 1g.gph 11g.gph 30g.gph, iscale(0.5) rows(1) ycommon





